With a background in computational biology, Rueben Scriven joined Interact Analysis two years ago and leads the warehouse automation and on-highway commercial vehicle research areas. Rueben has spoken at some of the leading industry events and moderated several panel discussions on the topic of commercial vehicle electrification. He’s also appeared on CNBC to provide insight on the global electric bus market.
Rueben Scriven, Research Analyst for Commercial Vehicles, presented some of our recent findings on the Interact Analysis European electric bus forecast at the International Bus Expo in Rimini, Italy on the 26th October.
Presentation Overview – European Electric Bus Forecast
By 2025 battery electric buses (excluding trolleybuses) is forecast to constitute 17.2% of the EMEA bus market while the combined bus market for Germany, France and the UK is forecast to be 36.3% battery electric by 2025. Hybridization will initially be the dominant technology choice for meeting emission standards, however, after 2021 battery electric buses is expected to be the easier and cheaper solution.
Since 2017, there has been a shift towards depot-only charging strategies over the combination of depot and opportunity charging, while opportunity-only charging strategies remain uncommon. This is largely due to an increased proportion of cities using BYD buses which tend to be charged overnight. Based on our global legislation tracker, we’ve seen a clear increase in the stringency of the soon-to-be implemented low emission zones over those currently in operation. The proposed low emission zones predominantly affect diesel vehicles and tend to restrict engines without Euro 5 or Euro 6 emission certificate.
The data used in this presentation is a small extract from the Hybrid and Electric Truck and Bus Market Forecast which is split by country, application and drivetrain. The analysis in this presentation does not include trolley buses and excludes buses below 6t.
Download the presentation slides below:
For more information on the Hybrid and Electric Truck and Bus Market Forecast click here